Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001881 0.002000 0.002123 0.002260 0.002409 0.002565 0.002742
2025-03-30 0.001704 0.001871 0.002050 0.002259 0.002495 0.002756 0.003066
2025-04-06 0.001561 0.001754 0.001970 0.002228 0.002532 0.002879 0.003308
2025-04-13 0.001445 0.001655 0.001895 0.002190 0.002547 0.002968 0.003507
2025-04-20 0.001326 0.001543 0.001794 0.002110 0.002502 0.002975 0.003598
2025-04-27 0.001278 0.001508 0.001781 0.002132 0.002576 0.003127 0.003873
2025-05-04 0.001248 0.001493 0.001790 0.002178 0.002680 0.003319 0.004209
2025-05-11 0.001231 0.001492 0.001813 0.002242 0.002809 0.003548 0.004606
2025-05-18 0.001196 0.001466 0.001803 0.002260 0.002877 0.003697 0.004901
2025-05-25 0.001138 0.001408 0.001749 0.002217 0.002860 0.003729 0.005031
2025-06-01 0.001094 0.001366 0.001712 0.002195 0.002868 0.003794 0.005211
2025-06-08 0.001068 0.001345 0.001703 0.002210 0.002926 0.003931 0.005503
2025-06-15 0.001024 0.001303 0.001667 0.002189 0.002940 0.004016 0.005738
2025-06-22 0.000988 0.001268 0.001639 0.002180 0.002972 0.004128 0.006026
2025-06-29 0.000946 0.001225 0.001598 0.002149 0.002967 0.004185 0.006230
2025-07-06 0.000905 0.001181 0.001554 0.002112 0.002953 0.004225 0.006407
2025-07-13 0.000855 0.001122 0.001486 0.002035 0.002873 0.004158 0.006401
2025-07-20 0.000838 0.001109 0.001484 0.002056 0.002943 0.004330 0.006810
2025-07-27 0.000830 0.001108 0.001497 0.002100 0.003050 0.004569 0.007357
2025-08-03 0.000827 0.001115 0.001521 0.002161 0.003189 0.004866 0.008037
2025-08-10 0.000812 0.001103 0.001517 0.002178 0.003256 0.005048 0.008518
2025-08-17 0.000782 0.001067 0.001478 0.002138 0.003225 0.005060 0.008675
2025-08-24 0.000759 0.001041 0.001451 0.002116 0.003226 0.005125 0.008941